“The best book there is about the stock market”—timeless investing basics by the host of the Emmy Award–winning show Adam Smith's Money World (The New. Smith, Adam - The Money Game. Vintage Books, 1st ed, [Behavioural Finance] Grade. Long before the term behavioural finance there. The Money Game [Adam Smith] on medical-site.info *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. This is a modern classic. —Paul A. Samuelson, First American Nobel.
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Praise. “This is a modern classic.” —Paul A. Samuelson, First American Nobel Prize Winner in Economics “The best book there is about the stock market and all . George J.W. Goodman/Adam Smith. Host and Editor-in-Chief. When Adam Smith's book The Money Game was published,. Nobel Prize-winner Paul Samuelson. Notes to the Excellent Book the Money Game by Adam Smith - Download as Word Doc .doc /.docx), PDF File .pdf), Text File .txt) or read online. Notes to the .
But nobody is listening. Those on margin had been sold out in and But from to , a real blight of the spirit took place.
The Prudent Men, not on margin, believing in the Long-Term Growth of the American Economy, saw their unmargined holdings in the bluest of American blue chips drop by 80 to 90 percent. I like the way he described the lack of logic in short term investing. So you download it and wait, and the story gets that they earn the one dollar and it goes to Thus earnings projections get marked up and down as the prices go up and down, just because Wall Streeters hate the insecurity of anarchy.
If the stock is going down, the earnings must be falling apart. If it is going up, the earnings must be better than we thought. Somebody must know something that we don't know. When you download a great bargain, you're doing it with sweaty palms, youre leaning against the crowd, engaging in contrary thinking, and you're pretty much alone.
Here are a few examples: A. You do not need to be warm and fuzzy with investing. John Templeton mentioned, "My job was being paid by wealthy families to help them choose stocks and bonds. I had good results in New York. But when I came here, I had better results.
The secret, I think, is that in order to download stocks at a bargain price, you have to do the opposite of the crowd. When you're going to the same meetings with the other people in Manhattan, it's hard to be different. Marty Zweig notes, when to part company with the crowd. He states, "The crowd tends to follow the wrong signs near the market tops and bottoms. Investors are punch drunk from suffering huge losses for a year or two of falling prices.
Bad news dominates the headlines. Most people only see the downtrend continuing. This is the gloom and doom that bear markets bottom and bull markets begin. Watch for loosening credit and interest rate decreases.
Investment data are available more conveniently and faster today. But the behavior of investors will not be more intelligent than in the past, despite all this. How people react will not change their psychological makeup stays constant.
You need to divorce your mind from the crowd. The herd mentality causes all these IQ's to become paralyzed.
I don't think investors are now acting more intelligently, despite the intelligence. Smart doesn't always equal rational. To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible. I particularly notice it when I attend meetings for technology stocks and see all the people crowding into the room and so on. If there's standing room only, that's usually a pretty fair sign it's not a good time to download the stock.
The market still has gas. Who understands gold, anyway? And how can you worry about something you can't understand.? It bothered me, that I couldn't figure out the reason it was a "safe haven" or "money substitute".
I think Buffett said he grew up with gold, his dad loved gold, but he never understood it. In chapter 20, Smith referred to silver. Keep in mind this book was written in 41 years ago. Yet, the comment sounds so similar to what I have heard about silver for the last 2 decades. He wrote this in what I interpret as a very sarcastic fashion. When the price goes up, off comes the silver. That's eight hundred million wrists, and I haven't started talking about Mexico.
There are people who hate brokers for making so much commissions. They feel brokers like to lie. They feel brokers are touting for more business. Some just want the broker to talk to and to provide information on the stock for them. They just want to be part of what is going on. If the stock went up, he should have bought more, so he was stupid there, and if it went down, that proved he was stupid there.
Why are we not growing rich? Markets mean different things to different people. Greed and fear are the most common emotions. Obviously, no one wants to download at the top. Prices get pushed up even though the fundamentals do not support them. Some people expect their money to double in a few years. The trick is to have a firm identity which is not influenced by people speculating. One has to avoid anxiety situations.
Do not be emotionally attached to any stock. The key is to start out with no preconceived notions. Every day is a new day. The end object of investment should be serenity. Will you feel serene after earning a million? Or will you want more? Will you compare yourself with more successful people?
People in society are usually measured by how much they can earn. A lot of people define themselves by how much money they make. The stock market is a zero sum game, there will be winners and losers.
The trouble is that people who get burnt do not learn and want to continue playing. You are ahead because you can change your mind and your actions without regard to what you did or thought yesterday. You have to go for the quantum jumps.
Why are we on Wall Street? To make money. As outside investors, it is not possible to make outrageous amounts of money. The ones making a lot of money are the inside stockholders of a company.
These are the people who started a company and then IPO. The possibilities of different businesses which can go IPO are endless. Smith Admits His Biases. How do you correct your biases? The problem is that nothing works all the time. Sometimes, inaction is the better option.
Inaction is also considered action. Some people try to anticipate business cycles to make money. However, this will not make you very rich. Some people anticipate swing in interest rates. You can also download the turnarounds, rotten companies which have sold off unprofitable segments and have new management. The examples involved require some knowledge.
However, be wary of companies where earnings shot up way too quickly. However, the problem is that past performance is no indication for future performance. Companies with earnings growth consistently must have something unique about it.
They must have a competitive advantage. This thing must not be easily replicated or copied. The rate of growth of earnings matter too. A great product can be ruined by bad management.
Another tip is to concentrate on a few holdings and do not diversify too much. How to find great stocks?
The company should be adaptable to change and stay innovative. You can get ideas from smart people. That is one of the rules. You can use the scuttlebutt technique, which is to talk to a lot of people associated with the business. Find your own stocks and your own coloured stocks.
If playing the Stock Market game has been fun, it may be difficult to stop playing, even when that button of yours is burning your finger. Repeated shocks will give you anxiety, and anxiety is the enemy of identity, and without identity there is no serenity. Almost every firm has a research department. It is important to know what everyone else is doing.
Everyone has limited time available. Charting is looking for trends and repetitions. Charts can very well prove to the traps as well. A chart can reflect volume and price range.
Can charts indicate the future? The assumption is that what happens yesterday will happen again tomorrow. Can the footprints of price movements really predict the future? Is the market fully efficient? Charting seeks to find order in something that happens. Random walk means there is no order. Random walk theory was proposed by academics. He is Eugene Fama. You might as well select stocks by throwing darts. It assumes that the market is completely efficient.
It also assumes that stocks have an intrinsic value. The actions of investors should cause actual price to wander randomly around its intrinsic value. However, in reality, the actual price might not be equal intrinsic value.
The analysts all try to make the market more efficient. The analysts also feel that their analysis is useful. The fact is that the market is reasonably efficient. The chartists can certainly be a force in the market. Can intuition be programmed? Chartists are happy that now everything can be programmed. Computers and Computers. Railroad Bill is a computer. Computers revolutionized investments. But people — the Crowd — do have a memory that extends from day to day. But there are some quite successful investors around who have no particular system.
Perhaps they are the lucky holders of serial runs, perhaps they are more rational or have better access to information, and perhaps — something not taken into account in the austere statistical worlds — they are better students of psychology. The more complex the math, the more speculative the results.
Accounting standards and financial statements imply precision too, yet earnings can be manipulated up or down any number of ways. Example: there is no uniformity between companies on depreciation charges, amortization, inventory valuation, or goodwill. Investing is more art than science, so treat it as such.
But nobody was listening. Those on margin had been sold out in and But from to , a real blight of the spirit took place. The Depression described the economy and the mood at the time. Much like what Smith describes, the book Oh Yeah! Liquidity, or lack thereof, is the biggest threat to short-term performance chasers. If everyone wants to get out, and no one is downloading, losses pile up fast. The risk to funds managers includes optics: how does it look to own big losers, how does it look to own winners, how does it look sitting on a big pile of cash while the market rises.
Markets only work when they believe, and this confidence is based on the idea that men can manage their affairs rationally. If that belief fades, then so do the markets. They do not merely dive, they dive and then they disappear.
It happened here in the blight of the spirit from to , and it has happened in other countries.